Ideological Subversion

From Cold War Subversion to 21st Century Cognitive Warfare

It's easy to think of conflict in terms of armies and treaties. But the most profound struggles are often fought not on battlefields, but in the minds of a nation's people. One of the clearest warnings about this "invisible warfare" came from Yuri Bezmenov, a former Soviet journalist for the Novosti Press Agency—a propaganda front for the KGB. Becoming deeply disillusioned with the system he served, he defected to the West in 1970.

Once free, Bezmenov spoke about a long-term Soviet strategy he called "Ideological Subversion." He defined it in stark terms:

"To change the perception of reality to such an extent that despite the abundance of information, no one can come to sensible conclusions in the interest of defending themselves, their families, their communities, and their country."

Bezmenov's warnings did not emerge in a vacuum. During the Cold War, the fear of subversion was a two-way street. In the 1950s, for example, the American FBI was intensely focused on rooting out "subversives," 

fearing potential Communist infiltration into the government and cultural institutions. Subversion was the central anxiety of the era, which gives Bezmenov's later testimony a powerful historical backdrop.

By understanding his model—Demoralization, Destabilization, Crisis, and Normalization—we can better recognize the psychological tactics used to defeat a nation from within, "without firing a single shot." 

----https://www.lpnc.org/yuri_bezmenov_was_right-------------https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuri_Bezmenov--------------------------------------------------------

Stage 1: Demoralization (The Long Brainwashing)

The first and most critical stage in Bezmenov's framework is Demoralization. This is the foundational phase, a long-term process of psychological warfare that is often too subtle to detect while it is happening.

• Timeline: 15 to 20 years

Bezmenov specified this timeframe because it is the minimum number of years required to "educate one generation of students" with a new ideology. The goal is to slowly erode a nation's moral and spiritual values, fundamentally changing how an entire generation perceives reality. A person who is successfully demoralized, he warned, becomes "unable to assess true information," even when presented with facts. 

This Cold War-era goal is strikingly similar to the stated aims of modern Russian Information Warfare (IW), which involves "influencing the consciousness of the masses" and seeks to decay

"'the moral values, psychological state or even the decision maker's character' to alter the perception of information."

This strategy's continuity is clear; Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev once boasted,

"We will destroy you from within,"

a threat that finds its modern echo in what analysts now call "cognitive warfare"—a "contest for truth and knowledge—a struggle to shape perception."

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Bezmenov's theory points out three key levels of society targeted during this stage:

• Ideas (Consciousness): This involves targeting a nation's core beliefs by influencing areas like 
• religion
• education
• and the media.
• Structures (Socio-political setup): This aims to weaken the systems that hold society together, such as
• law enforcement
• political processes
• and social relations.
• Life (Material Existence): This seeks to undermine the basic fabric of daily life by disrupting areas like
• family structures
• healthcare
• and labor relations.

The intended outcome is a generation that is cynical, divided, and lacks the intellectual tools to resist hostile narratives. Once a society's shared values are eroded, it is primed for the more rapid and chaotic stages that follow.

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Stage 2: Destabilization (Creating Chaos)

Once a generation has been demoralized, the process moves into its second stage: Destabilization. This phase is faster and more aggressive, designed to throw the nation's core functions into turmoil.

• Timeline: 2 to 5 years

The primary goal here is to make a country's essential systems—its economy, defense, and foreign relations—chaotic and unable to function properly. The societal consensus built over generations disappears, replaced by antagonism.

 This stage can be seen as the practical application of a key Soviet-era concept that remains central to modern IW: Reflexive Control. In simple terms, Reflexive Control is the ability to make an opponent willingly make the decisions you want them to make. During destabilization, a society is manipulated into tearing itself apart.

Modern IW analysts have identified specific tactics, or "forms," that achieve this. Researcher Samantha Mullaney identifies Russian IW forms such as "Division," "Pressure," and "Distraction." These tactics are the modern mechanisms for creating the state of destabilization Bezmenov described. For example, the documented use of "Division" in Russian IW campaigns against the U.S. directly correlates with the following outcomes Bezmenov predicted:

• Radicalization: Voices and ideas that were once considered extreme move into the mainstream, making compromise and rational debate nearly impossible.
• Loss of Consensus: Society becomes so polarized that people can no longer agree on basic facts or find common ground, leading to widespread social friction and paralysis.
• Economic Breakdown: The free bargaining process, a cornerstone of a market economy, is disrupted, which can lead to increased state control and dependency.

This engineered chaos is not an accident; it is a designed environment intended to set the stage for a dramatic and forceful change.

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Stage 3: Crisis (The Breaking Point)

The Crisis stage is the shortest but most intense phase, where the demoralized and destabilized society finally reaches its breaking point.

• Timeline: 2 to 6 months

The primary goal of this stage is to trigger a "violent change of power, structure and economy." As the nation's core institutions become paralyzed, a power vacuum is created. This void can be filled by unelected groups, radical factions, or a "savior" figure who promises to restore order—often by demanding "emergency powers" that suspend normal legal and political processes.

This phase can lead to civil war or foreign intervention, but it doesn't have to. The nation's entire system can be forcefully changed from within as the population, desperate for a solution to the chaos, may accept or even welcome an authoritarian takeover. With the old system broken, the path is cleared for a new one to be imposed.

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-----------------------------------

Stage 4: Normalization (The New Reality)

The final stage, Normalization, is where the radical changes brought about by the crisis are locked in and become permanent. The term is intentionally ironic: this "new normal" is a state of subjugation.

• Timeline: Indefinite

Modern analysts would recognize this end-state as the successful conclusion of a "gray zone" conflict—a struggle in which a nation's sovereignty and political system are eroded "without resulting in direct conflict."

 During this stage, the population, exhausted by turmoil, accepts the new authoritarian reality. The promises of revolution give way to the harsh reality of control, as highlighted by the contrast between what was promised and what Bezmenov said would be delivered:

The Promise	The Reality of Normalization
Freedom and diversity	The new order demands "stability and new morality"; dissent and "grass roots" movements are no longer tolerated.
Power to the people	The "useful idiots" who helped the subversion are sidelined or eliminated.
A better future	The nation's previous independence is gone, replaced by a new reality of authoritarian control.

The process of ideological subversion is now complete. The country has been defeated from within, its population living under a new system they may have unknowingly helped install. The memory of true freedom begins to fade, and the new order is presented as the only path forward.

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Mechanisms of Control: Social Influence and Power

The Invisible Forces Shaping Our World

our decisions, beliefs, and even our feelings are not formed in a vacuum. We are constantly navigating a complex web of invisible forces that guide our actions and shape our societies.

 These forces can be broadly understood through the concepts of social influence and social control. Social influence, a central idea in social psychology, is the effect that the words, actions, or mere presence of other people have on our thoughts, feelings, attitudes, or behavior. It is the engine that drives compliance, shaping not just what we do, but how we think and feel.

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censorship and deplatforming. This technological shift extends to physical social control, with an increasing reliance on "engineering" solutions that aim to design away undesirable behavior through environmental and technological constraints.

At the highest level, these principles of influence and control manifest as geopolitical strategy. Concepts such as power projection, hegemony, and the establishment of a "new world order" represent the application of national power—both hard and soft—to shape the behavior of other states and dictate the structure of international relations.

Part I: The Psychology of Influence and Compliance

The ability to influence the thoughts, feelings, and behaviors of others is rooted in fundamental psychological principles. These principles operate at both conscious and subconscious levels, forming the basis for compliance, persuasion, and control in interpersonal dynamics.

Foundations of Social Influence

Social influence is defined as the effect that the words, actions, or mere presence of other people have on an individual's thoughts, feelings, attitudes, or behavior. It is the primary force behind compliance.

• Construals and Interpretation: An individual's interpretation of a social situation (their "construal") dictates whether they perceive a request as reasonable or manipulative, which in turn shapes their willingness to comply.
• Situational Factors: External circumstances, such as the presence of an authority figure or the perception of consequences, are key drivers of compliance.
• Group Dynamics: The tendency to comply increases when individuals observe others doing so, a phenomenon known as conformity or group pressure.
• Personality Disorders and Manipulation: Certain personality disorders are characterized by traits that make individuals more prone to manipulating others into compliance.
  
  • Antisocial Personality Disorder (ASPD): Characterized by a lack of remorse or empathy, making individuals well-suited to conning or manipulating others.
  • Histrionic Personality Disorder (HPD): A craving for attention can lead individuals to form and discard relationships to gain influence.
  • Narcissistic Personality Disorder (NPD): An inflated sense of self-importance and entitlement compels individuals to persuade others to comply with their requests.

Core Principles of Persuasion

Persuasion involves a range of theories and techniques designed to change attitudes or behaviors through communication.

Attribution Theory: People explain others' actions through either dispositional (internal traits) or situational (external context) attribution. Persuaders often attribute positive behaviors to internal factors and negative behaviors to external factors to generate a favorable impression.

• Conditioning Theories: Persuasion often relies on classical conditioning to associate a product, idea, or person with a positive emotion. Repeated exposure to this pairing (e.g., an uplifting song in an ad followed by a brand logo) aims to create an unconscious positive emotional response.
• Inoculation Theory: This theory posits that exposing an audience to a weak form of an opposing argument makes them more resistant to a stronger version of that argument later. It "inoculates" them by preparing their defenses.
• Social Judgment Theory: Individuals evaluate incoming ideas by comparing them to their current attitudes or "anchor point." An idea may fall into one of three latitudes: acceptance, rejection, or non-commitment. Persuasion is most effective when the message lands near the edge of the latitude of acceptance, gradually shifting the anchor point over time.
• Cialdini's Principles of Influence:
  
  • Social Proof: People tend to do what they see others doing. This is particularly effective in ambiguous situations where individuals look to the crowd for cues on correct behavior.
  • Authority: Individuals are more likely to comply with requests from perceived authority figures, believing that experts are more knowledgeable and trustworthy. Eric Hoffer noted, "To the frustrated, freedom from responsibility is more attractive than freedom from restraint."
  • Scarcity: Items and opportunities become more desirable as they become less available. This is based on the heuristics that scarce things are typically more valuable and that people fear losing the opportunity to acquire them. 

Emotional Contagion and Interpersonal Dynamics

Emotional contagion is the tendency to automatically mimic and synchronize expressions, vocalizations, postures, and movements with another person, leading to emotional convergence.

• Two-Step Process:
  1. Mimicry: An individual automatically imitates the non-verbal cues of another (e.g., smiling back at someone who smiles).
  2. Emotional Feedback: The act of mimicking influences the individual's own emotional state (e.g., the act of smiling makes one feel happier).
• Neurological Basis: The discovery of "mirror neurons"—neurons that fire both when an individual performs an action and when they observe another performing the same action—is believed to be a key neurological underpinning of emotional contagion and empathy.
• Controversy: A 2014 experiment by Facebook and Cornell University demonstrated "massive-scale emotional contagion" by manipulating the emotional content of 689,000 users' news feeds without their explicit consent, sparking a significant ethical controversy. 

Controlling and Abusive Behaviors

In some relationships, influence escalates into patterns of psychological abuse, which is characterized by sustained and repetitive behavior intended to diminish and control another person.

• Abusive Tactics: These include
•  positive reinforcement (love bombing, flattery), negative reinforcement, psychological punishment (silent treatment, threats, guilt trips), and traumatic tactics (verbal abuse, gaslighting).
  
  
  
• Definition of Abuse: A single incident of aggression or jealousy does not constitute psychological abuse. It is defined by a "climate or pattern of behavior(s) occurring over time."
• Forms of Emotional Abuse: Key patterns include aggressing, denying (e.g., withholding communication), and minimizing the victim's experience. Blaming, shaming, and name-calling are common verbal tactics that diminish a victim's self-worth.

Part II: Group Dynamics and Collective Behavior

When individuals gather, their psychology and behavior can change dramatically. The study of crowds, mobs, and organizational groups reveals phenomena where individual reason and identity are often subordinated to collective forces. 

Wladimir Velminski’s Homo Sovieticus: Brain Waves, Mind Control, and Telepathic Destiny. MIT Press

https://lareviewofbooks.org/article/soviet-pseudoscience-the-history-of-mind-control/

https://www.brandeis.edu/writing-program/write-now/2020-2021/dragunoff-alex/index.html

The Russian Government (2020). Is This the Russia You Choose? [Video]  https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-putin-homophobic-gay-video-trolls-a9551186.html.

Kuhr, E. (2020). 1 in 5 Russians wants gays and lesbians ‘eliminated,’ survey finds. Retrieved from https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-out/1-5-russians-want-gays-lesbians-eliminated-survey-finds-n1191851.

https://www.hrw.org/report/2018/12/11/no-support/russias-gay-propaganda-law-imperils-lgbt-youth#.

(Riabov & Riabova, 2014, p.29)

(Poyushchie Vmeste, 2002)

(Riabov & Riabova, 2014, p. 26)

 (qtd. Riabov & Riabova, 2014, p. 26)

(Ashwin & Utrata, 2020, p.19)  

Crowd Psychology

Crowd psychology examines how the psychology of a group differs from that of its individual members.

A key factor is deindividuation, a perceived loss of personal responsibility that increases with the size of the crowd

 

• Types of Crowds:
  • Herbert Blumer's Classification (Emotional Intensity):
    
    • Casual:
    •  Individuals at the same place at the same time (e.g., a bus stop).
    • Conventional:
    •  A gathering for a specific purpose (e.g., a concert audience).
    • 
      
    • Expressive: A gathering to express emotion (e.g., a political rally).
  • 
    
  • Active:
  •  A group engaged in violent or destructive behavior (a mob)

• • Functional Classification:
    
    • Aggressive Mob:
    • Violent and outwardly focused (e.g., riots).

• • • Escapist Mob:
    • People trying to flee danger (e.g., stampedes).
• 
  
• • Acquisitive Mob:
  • People competing for limited resources.
  • 
    
  • Expressive Mob:
  • Any large gathering for an active purpose (e.g., civil disobedience)
    
    
• Theoretical Explanations of Crowd Behavior:
  • Convergence Theory: Crowd behavior is not created by the crowd itself but is the result of like-minded individuals coming together. Floyd Allport argued, "An individual in a crowd behaves just as he would behave alone, only more so."
  • Emergent Norm Theory: Crowd behavior is guided by norms that emerge from within the group, often established by a few key, distinctive individuals whose actions are tacitly approved by the silent majority.
  • Social Identity Theory: Individuals possess multiple social identities based on group memberships. In a crowd context, a shared social identity can become prominent, leading individuals to act in terms of that collective identity rather than their personal one.

Groupthink 

Coined by William H. Whyte Jr. in 1952 and extensively researched by Irving Janis, groupthink is a psychological phenomenon that occurs within a group of people in which the desire for harmony or conformity results in an irrational or dysfunctional decision-making outcome.

• Core Principle: Janis stated, "The more amiability and esprit de corps there is among the members of a policy-making ingroup, the greater the danger that independent critical thinking will be replaced by groupthink."
• Antecedent Conditions:
  • High group cohesiveness.
  • Faulty group structure (e.g., insulation from outside opinions, lack of impartial leadership).
  • Stressful situational context (e.g., community panic, external threats).
• Prevention Methods (devised by Janis):
  • Assign each member the role of "critical evaluator."
  • Leaders should refrain from expressing their own opinion at the outset.
  • Set up multiple independent groups to work on the same problem.
  • Invite outside experts to meetings and allow members to question them.
  • Assign at least one member the role of "devil's advocate."
• Case Studies:
  • Pearl Harbor (1941): U.S. military leaders shared rationalizations for why a Japanese attack was unlikely, dismissing contradictory intelligence.
  • Bay of Pigs Invasion (1961): Janis's primary case study, where pressure for consensus in President Kennedy's advisory group led to a flawed invasion plan.
  • Space Shuttle Challenger Disaster (1986): Engineers at Morton Thiokol ignored warnings about the effects of cold temperatures on the O-rings due to pressure to meet a self-imposed launch schedule driven by publicity.

Crowd Manipulation

Crowd manipulation involves deliberately guiding the behavior of a crowd. It requires a deep understanding of the group's context, fears, and desires.

• Importance of Historical Context: Socioeconomic and political conditions heavily influence a crowd's susceptibility to manipulation. Key periods include the American Revolution, the Cold War, and the 2008 U.S. presidential election, where messages of "Hope" and "Change" capitalized on voter frustrations.
• Propaganda as a Tool: Crowd manipulation often works in tandem with propaganda. Social scientist Jacques Ellul described "pre-propaganda" as a necessary preliminary step to create a favorable climate for a message. This involves creating ambiguities, reducing prejudices, and spreading images before direct propaganda is deployed.

• Hitler's Principles of Propaganda: Adolf Hitler's tenets for crowd manipulation, outlined in Mein Kampf, included:
  • Address propaganda exclusively to the masses, not the intelligentsia.
  • Aim at emotions and only minimally at the intellect.
  • Recognize that the masses have limited intelligence but an enormous power of forgetting.
  • Confine propaganda to a few points and repeat them over and over.
  • Serve one's own "right, always and unflinchingly," rather than making an objective study of the truth.
    
    
    
    
    
    

Part III: Methodologies of Organized Persuasion and Control

Beyond spontaneous group dynamics, influence is often wielded through systematic, organized campaigns designed to shape public opinion and behavior. These methodologies are employed by governments, militaries, corporations, and other institutions to further specific agendas.

Propaganda

Propaganda is communication used primarily to influence an audience and further an agenda, often by presenting facts selectively or using loaded language to elicit an emotional response.

• Historical Roots: Early examples include the Behistun Inscription (c. 515 BCE) detailing Darius I's rise to power and the invective campaigns between Octavian and Mark Antony in ancient Rome.
• Modern Propaganda: The first large-scale, organized government propaganda emerged during World War I. This "Golden Age of Propaganda" continued through World War II, with Nazi Germany's Ministry of Public Enlightenment and Propaganda, under Joseph Goebbels, and the U.S. Office of War Information producing films, posters, and radio broadcasts to boost morale, dehumanize the enemy, and justify the war effort.
• Contemporary Political Propaganda: The use of data analytics firms like Cambridge Analytica, which used illegally obtained social media data for psychological profiling to aid the 2016 Trump campaign, represents a modern evolution of propaganda techniques.

.

 Psychological Warfare

 (PSYWAR) and Operations

 (PSYOP)

PSYWAR encompasses actions taken to evoke a planned psychological reaction in a target audience, which can include governments, organizations, groups, and individuals. PSYOP is the U.S. military term for these activities.

• Objective: To induce or reinforce behavior favorable to U.S. objectives by influencing motives and objective reasoning.
• Types of PSYOP:
  • Strategic: Informational activities conducted by U.S. government agencies, often outside the military.
  • Operational: Conducted in a defined military operational area to support a commander's campaigns.
  • Tactical: Conducted to support a tactical mission against opposing forces.
• Historical Examples:
  • World War II: The U.S. and its allies dropped leaflets and used radio broadcasts to demoralize German troops.
  • Vietnam War: The Phoenix Program aimed to terrorize Viet Cong supporters, while Operation Wandering Soul used tapes of distorted human sounds to play on Vietnamese beliefs about wandering souls.
  • Invasion of Panama (1989): Loudspeaker teams used escalating demonstrations of firepower to convince Panamanian Defence Forces to surrender with minimal casualties.
  • Iraq War (2003): The toppling of Saddam Hussein's statue in Firdos Square was allegedly orchestrated by a U.S. Army PSYOP team to create a powerful propaganda image of liberation.
• U.S. PSYOP Units: The primary active duty unit is the U.S. Army's 4th PSYOP Group. The Air Force contributes with the EC-130 COMMANDO SOLO aircraft, a flying broadcast station. The Marine Corps and Navy also maintain PSYOP capabilities.

Compliance-Gaining Strategies

Originating in social psychology and communication studies, compliance-gaining research identifies the specific message strategies people use to influence others. Marwell and Schmitt's 1967 typology was a foundational study in this field.

• Goals-Plans-Actions Model: Developed by Dillard, this framework posits that individuals have a primary goal (the main objective of the interaction, e.g., getting someone to stop smoking) and secondary goals (e.g., maintaining the relationship, managing one's own anxiety) that constrain the strategies used.

• Selected Techniques:
  • Persistence: Repeating a message to gain compliance. Research found this is effective up to five times, after which compliance decreases.
  • Dump and Chase (DAC): A form of persistence that involves rejecting the target's objections by asking "why not?" and then tailoring a new message to overcome that specific objection.
  • Disrupt-Then-Reframe (DTR): A technique that confuses the target with a strange request, then reframes it in a more understandable way. It has proven effective in non-profit contexts but less so in sales, where messages are more scrutinized.
    
    
    5D: Larissa Doroshenko and Josephine Lukito, “Trollfare: How to Recognize and /fight Off Online Psyops: It starts by understanding common tactics: distort, distract, dismiss, deny and dismay,” Defense One,
    Dec. 15, 2021
    
    https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2021/12/trollfare-how-recognize-and-fight-online-psyops/359777/
    
    

Category	Example Compliance-Gaining Strategies
Reward-Based	Promise: Offering a reward for compliance.
	Pre-Giving: Giving a gift before making a request.
Punishment-Based	Threat: Stating a punishment for non-compliance.
	Aversive Stimulation: Bothering someone until they comply.
Relational	Liking: Acting friendly and charming to get the target in a good mood.
	Moral Appeal: Appealing to the target's sense of right and wrong.
	Altruism: Asking the target to help out of the goodness of their heart.
Identity-Based	Altercasting (Positive/Negative): Suggesting a good person would comply, while a bad person would not.
	Self-Feeling (Positive/Negative): Stating the target will feel better/worse about themselves if they comply/don't comply.
Logic-Based	Logical Empirical: Using reasoning, evidence, and facts to gain compliance.
	Personal Expertise: Citing one's own credibility and experience.

Demoralization in Warfare

Demoralization is a key objective of psychological warfare, aiming to destroy an enemy's will to fight. It can be achieved through objective conditions (e.g., a military defeat) or through perception management via propaganda.

•  Strategies:
  1. Denial of an Enemy Image: Undermining the target's ability to see the antagonist as a clear enemy. During WWI, the German Gazette des Ardennes published articles portraying the Kaiser as a man of peace and German soldiers as kind.
  2. Fostering Anxiety: Creating a sense of helplessness and fear that the target's own leaders cannot mitigate.
  3. Diverting Frustrations: The most powerful strategy, which redirects the target's anger toward a new object. This can be an ally (e.g., Germany trying to stoke French-British animosity in WWI), the target's own government, or by encouraging secessionist movements (e.g., the Allies encouraging Zionism and the independence of Habsburg nationalities).

Part IV: The Digital and Technological Frontiers of Control

Technology has created new, powerful, and often subtle vectors for influence and control. From automated propaganda campaigns to software designed to change behavior, the digital realm has become a primary arena for manipulation.

Computational Propaganda and Social Media Manipulation

Computational propaganda is the strategic use of automated accounts (bots) and misleading information on social media to manipulate public opinion.

• Mechanisms:
  • Bots and Coordination: Fake accounts are used to amplify certain messages, create the illusion of widespread support, and harass opponents.
  • Algorithmic Influence: Social media algorithms create "filter bubbles" and "echo chambers" that can be exploited to reinforce extremist ideologies and expose users to increasingly radical content.
• Far-Right Usage of Social Media: Far-right groups have effectively used mainstream platforms to recruit followers and spread their ideologies.
  
  • Instagram: Influencers blend lifestyle content with subtle extremist symbols (like the Black Sun) and hashtags (#heimatverliebt) to gradually introduce followers to their worldview.
  • TikTok: The platform's algorithm and user-friendly tools are used to target young voters with extremist messages disguised as humorous or benign content.

Internet Censorship and Deplatforming

As the internet has become a central forum for expression, efforts to control online information have intensified.

• Methods of Censorship:
  • Technical: Includes blocking access to websites via IP address blocking, DNS filtering, and deep packet inspection. The "Great Firewall of China" is a prominent example.
  • Non-technical: Involves legal pressure, intimidation of users, and the use of pro-government commentators to shape online discussions.
• Commercial Filtering Software: Companies like Secure Computing (SmartFilter), Websense, and Sandvine sell content-control software that is used by both corporations and governments to block content.
• Deplatforming: The removal of controversial speakers or organizations from web services. A notable example is the coordinated 2018 ban of Alex Jones and InfoWars by YouTube, Facebook, and Apple for "hate speech."

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Persuasive Technology and Engineered Social Control

This domain focuses on designing technology with the explicit purpose of changing users' attitudes or behaviors, not through coercion, but through persuasion and social influence.

• Persuasive Technology:
  • Design Principles: These systems often incorporate social feedback (cooperation, competition), different motivation types (extrinsic rewards like trophies, intrinsic rewards like feeling healthy), and non-authoritative instruction (customer reviews).
  • Applications: Widely used in online health interventions to encourage goal-setting and progress tracking, and to promote sustainable lifestyles by providing feedback on energy consumption.
  • Challenges: Ethical concerns include the potential for manipulation and "persuasive backfires," where an intervention triggers the negative behavior it was designed to reduce.
• The Engineering of Social Control: This concept expands the idea of technological influence to the physical world, aiming to prevent rule-breaking by altering the environment.
  
  • Primary Prevention (Hard Control): Making an offense literally impossible (e.g., retracting car aerials to prevent vandalism).

• • Secondary Prevention (Soft Control): Deterring an offense by making it more difficult or increasing the likelihood of apprehension.

• • Six Engineering Strategies:

Target Removal:

Eliminating the target

(e.g., a cashless society reduces robbery).

Target Devaluation:

Making the target useless to anyone

but an authorized user

(e.g., exploding dye packs in stolen money).

Target Insulation:

 Protecting the target with barriers

(e.g., fences, safes, password protection).

Offender Incapacitation:

Rendering the offender harmless (e.g., anti-drunk-driving ignition interlocks, chemical castration)

Offender Identification:Using technology to identify violators (e.g., DNA residue from a stamp, electronic lock boxes that record access).

Escalation of Guardianship/Target Fortification:

Increasing surveillanceand protective measures (e.g., advanced alarm systems, CCTV).

Unintended Consequences: These techno-fixes can lead to an escalation of violence (e.g., carjackings increasing as anti-theft systems improve) and create equity issues, as the wealthy can afford better protection, displacing crime onto the poor.

Part V: Macro-Level Power Structures and Geopolitics

The principles of influence and control are scaled up to the level of international relations, where states compete to shape the global environment, manage threats, and secure their interests.

Hegemony

In international relations, hegemony refers to the politico-military dominance of one state (the hegemon) over others. A hegemonic order can dictate the internal politics and societal character of subordinate states.

• Historical Examples:
  • Ancient Greece: Sparta's leadership of the Peloponnesian League and Athens's dominance of the Delian League.
  • Roman Empire: Rome established hegemony over the Mediterranean, initially ruling through client states before evolving into a formal empire.
  • European Powers (16th-19th centuries): A succession of hegemonic powers included Portugal, Spain, the Netherlands, and France, culminating in the British Empire, which at its zenith ruled over one-quarter of the world's land and population.
  • Cold War: A period of "dual-hegemony," with the U.S. and the Soviet Union stabilizing their respective spheres of influence.
• American Hegemony: Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the U.S. emerged as the sole global superpower. There is an ongoing debate among scholars about whether this unipolar moment is now in decline due to the rise of China and other global shifts

 -----https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s11231-022-09363-w---------------------https://www.thecipherbrief.com/21st-century-cognitive-advantage-----------

1. The Psychological Foundations: Why We Comply and Conform

At its core, the study of control is rooted in social psychology, where the central concept is social influence. This force extends far beyond simple behavioral changes; it touches our most fundamental thoughts, feelings, and beliefs, taking on many forms, both subtle and overt. To understand how larger systems of control operate, we must first examine the psychological principles that make individuals receptive to influence.

Seminal experiments in the 20th century exposed the profound and often unsettling psychological wiring that predisposes us to comply and conform.

Experiment	Primary Finding	Significance for Understanding Influence
Solomon Asch Line Experiments	Individuals will often conform to a group's incorrect answer, even when they know the answer is wrong.	Reveals the power of group pressure over individual judgment, driven by a desire for social acceptance and a belief that the group may possess more accurate information (informational social influence).
Milgram Experiment	A high percentage of participants were willing to deliver what they believed were painful electric shocks to another person when instructed by an authority figure.	Demonstrates the profound human tendency to obey authority, even when it conflicts with personal conscience.
Stanford Prison Experiment	Participants assigned to roles of "guard" and "prisoner" quickly adopted behaviors associated with those roles, leading to psychological abuse.	Illustrates how perceived power and authority inherent in a situation can dramatically shape behavior, leading individuals to comply with roles they are assigned.

 These experiments collectively reveal that the context of a situation—specifically the presence of group pressure and authority—can often override an individual's personal judgment and moral compass, a principle that is foundational to all larger systems of social control.

While situational factors are powerful, certain personality traits can predispose individuals to become agents of manipulation. Social psychologists note that some personality disorders are characterized by traits that make individuals more prone to manipulating or coercing others into compliance:

• Antisocial Personality Disorder (ASPD): Individuals often display glibness and a lack of empathy or remorse, making them well-suited to conning or manipulating others.
• Histrionic Personality Disorder (HPD): A craving to be the center of attention can lead these individuals to form and discard relationships to gain influence.
• Narcissistic Personality Disorder (NPD): An inflated sense of self-importance and entitlement can compel people with NPD to persuade others to comply with their requests.

Influence, however, is not always the result of overt pressure or manipulation. It can be as subtle as the unconscious spread of feelings through a group, a phenomenon known as Emotional Contagion. Psychologists define this as "the tendency to automatically mimic and synchronize expressions, vocalizations, postures, and movements with those of another person's and, consequently, to converge emotionally." This process occurs in two steps:

1. Mimicry: We first unconsciously imitate the non-verbal cues of others. If someone smiles at you, you instinctively smile back.
2. Feedback: Our own emotional state then changes based on the physical signals we are sending. The act of smiling can make us feel happier, just as frowning can make us feel worse.

These fundamental principles—

our deference to authority

our desire to conform

and our unconscious mirroring of emotion

—form the building blocks of influence.

While they operate at the individual level, they are the very tools that are scaled up and deployed in broader social, political, and technological contexts to control groups, populations, and societies.

------------https://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Skinner/Pigeon/-------------------------------------------------------------------Control in the Physical World: Engineering Environments and Manipulating Crowds

Moving from the individual mind to the collective, we see how principles of control are applied to the physical world. In what can be called the engineered society, the primary goal is to eliminate or limit violations by directly controlling the physical environment. This approach is distinct from methods that aim to change an individual's thoughts or "transform the soul." 

Instead, a key distinction is made between "primary, hard, direct prevention efforts," which make an offense literally impossible to carry out, and "secondary, soft, indirect prevention efforts," where the goal is to deter a potential violator.

 From this perspective, it is far better to design problems away by altering the physical environment than it is to rely on the uncertain and messy business of changing the human will.

strategies are used to engineer social control:

• Target Removal: This strategy operates on a simple principle: something that is not there cannot be taken or vandalized.
  • Example: The move toward a cashless society, where registers contain little cash and public phones only accept credit cards, removes the primary target for robbers.
• Target Insulation: This classic technique protects a target by placing barriers around it, making it inaccessible.
  • Example: Skywalks that connect buildings in downtown cores insulate occupants from the unpredictability of life on the street below.
• Offender Incapacitation:
• This strategy focuses on rendering a potential offender, or the tools they use, harmless.
  • Example: Anti-drunk-driving interlock systems, which require a driver to pass a breathalyzer test before the car's ignition will start, incapacitate the vehicle.

While engineered environments control how individuals interact with their surroundings, other forms of control focus on the dynamics of people in groups. Sociologist Herbert Blumer identified four primary types of crowds, each with a different emotional intensity:

1. Casual Crowd: A group of people who are in the same place at the same time by chance (e.g., shoppers in a mall).
2. Conventional Crowd: A group gathered for a specific, planned purpose (e.g., an audience at a concert or lecture).
3. Expressive Crowd: A group that gathers to express excitement and emotion (e.g., a political rally or a public celebration).
4. Active Crowd: An intensely emotional group that engages in violent or destructive behavior, such as a mob. 

When groups are tasked with making high-stakes decisions, a particularly dangerous phenomenon can emerge: Groupthink. Coined by psychologist Irving Janis, groupthink describes a mode of thinking where the desire for harmony and conformity within a group leads to an irrational or dysfunctional decision-making outcome. 

Amiability and esprit de corps override independent critical thinking, preventing dissenting opinions from being expressed or evaluated. Janis identified groupthink as a key factor in major historical fiascoes, including:

the failed Bay of Pigs invasion

and

the disaster of the Space Shuttle Challenger,

where engineers' warnings about technical failures were ignored in a rushed, publicity-focused launch decision.

From the subtle design of a public space to the overt pressures within a high-stakes meeting room, the control of groups in the physical world relies on manipulating both environmental opportunities and social dynamics. 

These same principles are then elevated to the national level, where states employ sophisticated techniques to control the minds and loyalties of entire populations.

---------------------------------------https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-war-over-federalism/----------------------------------------

3. The Arsenal of the State: Propaganda and Psychological Warfare

When states seek to exert control, they move beyond managing physical environments to actively shaping the thoughts, emotions, and behaviors of mass audiences. The primary tool for this is propaganda, a communication strategy primarily used to influence an audience and further an agenda, which may not be objective and often involves selectively presenting facts to encourage a particular synthesis or perception, or using loaded language to produce an emotional rather than a rational response.

Drawing from his experiences in World War I, Adolf Hitler outlined several key principles for effective propaganda, which reveal its underlying logic:

• Address the masses exclusively, not the intelligentsia.
• Aim for the emotions, not the intellect.
• Recognize that the masses have limited intelligence and a great capacity for forgetting.
• Confine the message to a few key points and repeat them over and over.
• Its task is not to make an objective study of the truth... its task is to serve our own right, always and unflinchingly.

Alan Kelly, The Elements of Influence: The New Essential System for Managing Competition, Reputation, Brand, and Buzz, New York: Dutton, 2006 and Plume, 2007,

https://www.playmakersystems.com/playmaker-system/book-the-elements-of-influence/

While propaganda is a broad tool of influence, Psychological Warfare (PSYWAR) is a more specific military method aimed at destroying an opponent's morale and faith in their cause. It targets the minds of enemy soldiers and civilians to induce discouragement, doubt, and surrender. The activities conducted to achieve these goals are known as Psychological Operations (PSYOP).

Over the last century, states have deployed a wide array of PSYOP tactics, adapting them to new technologies and contexts.

Tactic	Historical Example
Leaflet Distribution	Dropping pamphlets from aircraft or artillery shells during WWII and the Korean War to encourage surrender.
Radio Broadcasts	Using stations like Radio Free Europe during the Cold War to broadcast messages aimed at containing communism.
Loudspeaker Broadcasts	Using loudspeaker teams in Vietnam to play tapes of distorted human sounds (Operation Wandering Soul) to make enemy soldiers think the dead were returning for revenge.
Deception & Disinformation	Using fake accounts on social media to spread pro-Western narratives and criticize Iran, China, and Russia, as found in a 2022 study.

n The ultimate goal of sustained, state-level influence is to achieve hegemony: the politico-military and cultural dominance of one state over others. Hegemony represents the pinnacle of social control, where a dominant power can shape the character and politics of subordinate states within its sphere of influence.

For centuries, this battle for hearts and minds was waged through print, radio waves, and physical presence. But as technology evolved, the primary arena for influence and control rapidly shifted from the physical to the digital world.

----------------------https://www.simplypsychology.org/operant-conditioning.html---------------------------------------------------------

4. The Digital Realm: Online Influence and Censorship

In 1993, at the dawn of the public internet, digital pioneer John Gilmore famously declared, "The Net interprets censorship as damage and routes around it.

This statement captured the early utopian belief in the internet as an unstoppable force for free expression. However, by 2011, researchers at the Oxford Internet Institute reached a starkly different conclusion:

"the control of information on the Internet and Web is certainly feasible." This tension between the internet's decentralized architecture and the centralizing power of control defines the modern struggle for influence.

Control in the digital realm operates through two primary modes: direct intervention and indirect manipulation.

Direct Control: Censorship and Deplatforming

Governments and corporations can exert direct control by actively blocking access to information or removing individuals from platforms.

• Technical Censorship: This is often accomplished using sophisticated commercial filtering software. Programs like SmartFilter, Netsweeper, and products from companies like Sandvine and Procera are sold to governments and organizations around the world to block access to websites and content they deem sensitive or dangerous.

• Deplatforming: This non-technical form of censorship involves suspending or banning controversial figures or groups from social media and other service providers. A prominent example occurred in 2018 when platforms like YouTube and Facebook executed a coordinated, permanent ban on the accounts and media associated with talk show host Alex Jones, citing violations of their hate speech policies.

2. Indirect Control: Algorithmic Influence

Perhaps more pervasive than direct censorship is the indirect influence exerted through the very structure of social media platforms, a phenomenon known as computational propaganda. This involves the strategic use of fake accounts and misleading information to exploit algorithms and manipulate public opinion.

For example, far-right influencers use Instagram to post aesthetically pleasing images interwoven with subtle symbols (like the Black Sun) to gradually introduce followers to extremist ideologies, while the platform's algorithm creates filter bubbles that reinforce these beliefs. A textbook example of computational propaganda in action occurred on TikTok, where political parties have been found to manipulate engagement metrics by purchasing fake followers and likes. This tactic enhances the perceived popularity of their content and has been shown to impact youth votes in elections by exploiting algorithms designed for engagement to instead spread ideology..

The potential for digital platforms to manipulate users' emotions was starkly demonstrated in a controversial 2014 Facebook experiment. Researchers filtered the news feeds of 689,000 users, showing some more positive emotional content and others more negative content.

The digital revolution has transformed the landscape of control. The new mechanisms of influence are no longer just physical barriers or broadcasted messages but are embedded in the code of the platforms we use every day, shaping our reality in ways we are only beginning to understand. Jessica Brandt, “How Democracies Can Win an Information Contest Without Undercutting Their Values,” PICO Policy Proposal, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Aug. 2, 2021,

https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/08/02/how-democracies-can-win-information-contest-without-undercutting-their-values-pub-85058/

-------------

Rand Waltzman, a global expert in the application and understanding of propaganda, and Matt Armstrong, an authority on the Smith-Mundt Act

BEND: Laurie Fenstermacher and Katie Larson, “Multi-Source Insights for Discernment of “Competition” Threat,” Proc. SPIE 11423, Signal Processing, Sensor/Information Fusion, and Target Recognition XXIX, 114230S (May 8, 2020); doi:10.1117/12.2564517
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2564517

4D: Ben Nimmo, “Anatomy of an Info-War: How Russia’s Propaganda Machine Works, and How to Counter It,” StopFake.org, May 19, 2015,
https://www.stopfake.org/en/anatomy-of-an-info-war-how-russia-s-propaganda-machine-works-and-how-to-counter-it/

 Alan Kelly, “How to Beat The Donald: Encourage Him,” Plays for the Presidency (blog), Playmaker Systems, LLC, Nov. 30, 2015

http://www.playmakersystems.com/playsforthepresidency/how-to-beat-the-donald-encourage-him/

ting-influence-strategies-modern-information-warfare

“Rising above is like walking over the playing field, staying irrelevant, and watching the marketplace go by.” “Taking the high road is like never driving on it at all.” Alan Kelly, The Elements of Influence: The New Essential System for Managing Competition, Reputation, Brand, and Buzz, New York: Dutton, 2006 and Plume, 2007, p. 289.

https://www.playmakersystems.com/playmaker-system/book-the-elements-of-influence/

---------------

Influencae, Control, and Power Dynamics

body of information concerning the principles, methodologies, and applications of influence and control across interpersonal, group, societal, and geopolitical scales. The core takeaway is that influence is a fundamental and pervasive element of human interaction, leveraging consistent psychological principles that are applied in contexts ranging from personal relationships and commercial advertising to military strategy and international governance.

Key findings indicate that foundational psychological concepts—such as compliance, authority, and social proof—are systematically exploited to achieve desired outcomes. In group settings, these dynamics can manifest as phenomena like groupthink, where critical thought is suppressed in favor of consensus, or as crowd manipulation, where collective behavior is deliberately directed.

Historically, organized efforts to shape public perception have taken the form of propaganda, indoctrination, and psychological warfare. These state-sponsored methodologies have been refined over centuries, from ancient military deception to the sophisticated, multimedia campaigns of the World Wars and the Cold War. 

The contemporary landscape of influence has been fundamentally reshaped by technology. The digital age has introduced computational propaganda, which uses bots and algorithms to spread disinformation; widespread social media manipulation by political actors such as the far-right; and the rise of persuasive technologies designed to alter user behavior.

 Concurrently, the proliferation of information has led to increased efforts at control through internet

• The study found that these manipulations directly affected the emotional content of users' own posts, providing evidence of "massive-scale emotional contagion through social networks" and sparking a widespread public outcry over ethics and privacy.

• The "New World Order": A term used by leaders like Mikhail Gorbachev and George H.W. Bush after the Cold War to describe a new era of international relations.
  
  • Gorbachev's Vision: A world based on non-violence, peaceful coexistence, and cooperation.
  • Bush's Vision: A world where the rule of law replaces the rule of force, led by a U.S.-Soviet partnership and a reinvigorated United Nations. Critics, however, saw it as a rationalization for U.S. imperial ambitions or a fragile concept based on personal diplomacy.

• Patrimonialism
• A system of governance in which authority is based on the personal power of the ruler, who exercises control directly or through a staff from their household.

• All land and people are effectively the ruler's domain, and there is an absence of formal, impersonal law. It represents an extreme concentration of personal power and control within a state.

------------------------------------------------

.-------------------

Power Projection

Power projection is the capacity of a state to deploy and sustain military forces and other instruments of national power outside its territory.

It is a critical element of state power and a primary tool for maintaining hegemony.

Country	Maritime Force	Aircraft Carriers (Active/Building)	Overseas Bases	Nuclear Deterrence
United States	Blue-water navy	11 / 11	38	Yes
China	Blue-water navy	2 / 2	1	Yes
Russia	Blue-water navy	0 / 1	10	Yes
United Kingdom	Blue-water navy	0 / 2	15	Yes
France	Blue-water navy	3 / 1	10	Yes
India	Blue-water navy	2 / 2	6	Yes
Japan	Green-water navy	2 / 2	1	No
Germany	Green-water navy	0 / 1	1	Nuclear sharing

• Hard Power Projection: Involves the direct application or threat of military force.
  • Platforms: Aircraft carrier strike groups, strategic bombers, ballistic missile submarines.
  • Examples: Conquest, armed intervention, punishment strikes, compulsion/deterrence.

• Soft Power Projection: Utilizes non-military assets to achieve strategic goals.
  • Examples: Humanitarian response, peacekeeping, securing sea lanes, non-combatant evacuations.

• Gray Zone Competition: The space between traditional peace and open conflict, where states compete using a blend of hard and soft power tactics, including cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns, and proxy forces

Ideological and Political Manifestations

• Far-Right Politics: A political ideology characterized by
• ultranationalism
• authoritarianism
• nativism
•  and opposition to liberal democratic norms.
• Contemporary far-right movements have adeptly used social media to spread their message and recruit followers. Historically, this has manifested in movements like the Ku Klux Klan in the U.S., which combined nativism with conspiracy theories, and military dictatorships such as Augusto Pinochet's "openly pro-Nazi" regime in Chile